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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–1 on winners
spread MAE 10.4
7 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Villanova
@
Marquette
|
-1.5 | 141.7 | 45% | 85–68 | ✓ |
Coppin State
@
Iona
|
+16.2 | 138.1 | 93% | 65–85 | ✓ |
Weber State
@
BYU
|
+6.6 | 142.2 | 73% | 79–87 | ✓ |
Kansas City
@
Saint Louis
|
+24.7 | 137.9 | 99% | 46–62 | ✓ |
Northwestern
@
Indiana
|
+7.2 | 142.2 | 74% | 74–67 | ✗ |
San José State
@
Utah State
|
+24.7 | 154.3 | 99% | 52–85 | ✓ |
New Mexico
@
Boise State
|
+16.1 | 132.0 | 93% | 52–89 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.