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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–1 on winners
spread MAE 8.3
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Washington
@
Baylor
|
+6.0 | 146.3 | 71% | 69–78 | ✓ |
East Texas A&M
@
Hawai'i
|
+9.2 | 132.2 | 79% | 74–100 | ✓ |
New Haven
@
UMass Lowell
|
+3.8 | 133.8 | 64% | 73–67 | ✗ |
Columbia
@
UConn
|
+8.4 | 142.0 | 72% | 62–89 | ✓ |
Maine
@
Rutgers
|
+13.1 | 131.3 | 83% | 60–72 | ✓ |
Delaware State
@
Niagara
|
+10.6 | 131.9 | 85% | 57–68 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.