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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–1 on winners
spread MAE 8.2
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-3.4 | 140.3 | 38% | 68–75 | ✗ |
|
|
+16.0 | 142.1 | 90% | 71–77 | ✓ |
|
|
-6.7 | 158.7 | 26% | 75–64 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.