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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
1–3 on winners
spread MAE 7.6
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alabama
@
North Carolina
|
+2.3 | 171.4 | 58% | 89–87 | ✗ |
Illinois
@
Iowa State
|
+2.9 | 146.4 | 58% | 72–69 | ✗ |
NC State
@
Marquette
|
+4.9 | 146.9 | 69% | 67–58 | ✗ |
Gonzaga
@
Purdue
|
+5.7 | 153.2 | 71% | 68–80 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.