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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–1 on winners
spread MAE 15.6
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+6.6 | 142.5 | 74% | 54–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.1 | 149.9 | 74% | 77–72 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.7 | 139.6 | 76% | 52–82 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.