Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH -400 VCU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +20 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -7.7 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -6.3 (+13.7) | 143.1 (-15.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -6.6 (+13.4) | 142.5 (-14.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -7.8 (+12.2) | 141.8 (-13.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -7.5 (+12.5) | 142.7 (-14.7) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 24-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 17-2 | 13-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#35) | 7.9 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#64) | 1.47 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#63) | 1.75 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#66) | 0.573 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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