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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–1 on winners
spread MAE 9.8
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cincinnati
@
Indiana State
|
+3.6 | 150.0 | 70% | 81–85 | ✓ |
Seattle U
@
Fairfield
|
-3.5 | 139.5 | 37% | 75–58 | ✓ |
High Point
@
Seattle U
|
+0.8 | 146.5 | 52% | 67–77 | ✓ |
Purdue Fort Wayne
@
Norfolk State
|
-0.1 | 142.4 | 49% | 67–75 | ✗ |
UNLV
@
Seton Hall
|
+5.3 | 140.7 | 70% | 68–91 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.