Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | HALL -250 UNLV +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +23 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | HALL -4.2 (+18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -4.6 (+18.4) | 140.5 (+18.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -5.3 (+17.7) | 140.7 (+18.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -5.2 (+17.8) | 142.9 (+16.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -4.9 (+18.1) | 141.7 (+17.3) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 17-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#64) | 7.9 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#56) | 1.64 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#58) | 1.92 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#85) | 0.575 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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