Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -300 CLEM +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +5 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -8.7 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -6.1 (-11.1) | 149.9 (-0.9) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -6.0 (-11.0) | 150.3 (-1.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -5.7 (-10.7) | 152.7 (-3.7) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -6.6 (-11.6) | 150.5 (-1.5) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.1 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 22.4 (#4) | 13.6 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#11) | 2.26 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.42 (#9) | 2.95 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.632 (#3) | 0.595 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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