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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
0–4 on winners
spread MAE 12.1
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida Atlantic
@
Tennessee
|
+2.8 | 128.7 | 58% | 62–55 | ✗ |
Gonzaga
@
UCLA
|
+1.6 | 147.1 | 56% | 79–76 | ✗ |
San Diego State
@
Alabama
|
+5.7 | 139.5 | 72% | 71–64 | ✗ |
Miami
@
Houston
|
+7.3 | 137.3 | 79% | 89–75 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.