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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–0 on winners
spread MAE 8.5
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cincinnati
@
Utah Valley
|
+2.3 | 149.8 | 63% | 68–74 | ✓ |
Michigan State
@
Kansas State
|
+1.4 | 141.7 | 54% | 93–98 | ✓ |
Arkansas
@
UConn
|
+4.6 | 140.7 | 70% | 65–88 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.