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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 5.4
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wisconsin
@
Oregon
|
+5.9 | 132.2 | 71% | 61–58 | ✗ |
Charlotte
@
Radford
|
-3.0 | 130.7 | 39% | 63–56 | ✓ |
Charlotte
@
Eastern Kentucky
|
-2.1 | 138.1 | 42% | 71–68 | ✓ |
UAB
@
Vanderbilt
|
-0.1 | 153.8 | 53% | 67–59 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.