Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | EKU +180 CLT -220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +3 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -3.8 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -2.8 (-0.2) | 137.6 (+1.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -3.1 (+0.1) | 135.8 (+3.2) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -2.1 (-0.9) | 138.1 (+0.9) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -2.4 (-0.6) | 138.1 (+0.9) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#163) | 4.0 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#110) | 0.63 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#134) | 0.86 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#81) | 0.511 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.