Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Under |
| Money | RAD +188 CLT -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +7 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -3.6 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -3.1 (-3.9) | 127.8 (-8.8) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -3.3 (-3.7) | 125.7 (-6.7) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -3.0 (-4.0) | 130.7 (-11.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -2.7 (-4.3) | 129.7 (-10.7) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-10 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#161) | 4.0 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#174) | 0.63 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#175) | 0.86 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#137) | 0.511 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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