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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–1 on winners
spread MAE 10.5
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stanford
@
Colorado
|
+5.5 | 135.4 | 70% | 62–84 | ✓ |
Tarleton State
@
UT Arlington
|
+0.3 | 134.3 | 52% | 69–64 | ✗ |
UMass Lowell
@
Hartford
|
-12.5 | 140.3 | 14% | 70–48 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.