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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–2 on winners
spread MAE 14.4
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Memphis
@
Colorado State
|
-2.0 | 133.9 | 42% | 90–67 | ✓ |
Oregon State
@
Loyola Chicago
|
+5.4 | 127.8 | 70% | 65–58 | ✗ |
Louisiana Tech
@
Mississippi State
|
-1.1 | 134.1 | 43% | 62–84 | ✗ |
Villanova
@
Baylor
|
+5.4 | 145.8 | 71% | 51–62 | ✓ |
Oral Roberts
@
Arkansas
|
+12.0 | 156.6 | 85% | 70–72 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.