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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 14.8
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bellarmine
@
Army
|
+2.8 | 139.3 | 62% | 77–67 | ✗ |
Maryland
@
Alabama
|
+5.5 | 138.3 | 72% | 77–96 | ✓ |
USC
@
Kansas
|
-2.2 | 132.4 | 40% | 85–51 | ✓ |
Stetson
@
Coastal Carolina
|
+5.9 | 143.0 | 75% | 72–77 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.