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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
1–3 on winners
spread MAE 6.9
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Western Kentucky
@
Saint Mary's
|
+0.6 | 126.2 | 51% | 69–67 | ✗ |
Texas Southern
@
Mount St. Mary's
|
+1.6 | 132.5 | 56% | 60–52 | ✗ |
Drake
@
Wichita State
|
-0.3 | 141.6 | 48% | 53–52 | ✓ |
NC State
@
Davidson
|
+0.8 | 139.0 | 52% | 75–61 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.