Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | WICH +125 DRKE -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +1 | 105 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -2.9 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-40.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -0.3 (-0.7) | 141.6 (-36.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -2.1 (+1.1) | 135.9 (-30.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -1.3 (+0.3) | 139.8 (-34.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -1.2 (+0.2) | 140.8 (-35.8) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-6 | 26-5 |
| Conference | 11-2 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-2 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-2 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 64.8 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#81) | 9.9 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#27) | 2.00 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#40) | 1.87 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#14) | 0.545 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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