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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–3 on winners
spread MAE 16.2
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+7.9 | 158.6 | 75% | 61–86 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.8 | 151.4 | 86% | 66–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.0 | 154.1 | 66% | 96–70 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.0 | 143.7 | 77% | 76–75 | ✗ |
|
|
+4.2 | 139.6 | 70% | 57–73 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.2 | 161.9 | 47% | 65–90 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.