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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–4 on winners
spread MAE 9.4
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ole Miss
@
Iowa State
|
+3.7 | 147.8 | 55% | 91–78 | ✗ |
New Mexico
@
Michigan State
|
+5.4 | 144.7 | 71% | 63–71 | ✓ |
Jacksonville State
@
UC Irvine
|
+10.0 | 140.1 | 80% | 61–66 | ✓ |
Kent State
@
Stanford
|
+7.2 | 136.8 | 66% | 77–75 | ✗ |
UAB
@
Santa Clara
|
+10.7 | 161.9 | 68% | 88–84 | ✗ |
Oregon
@
Arizona
|
+3.3 | 150.5 | 61% | 83–87 | ✓ |
Incarnate Word
@
Jacksonville
|
+2.9 | 138.9 | 55% | 87–71 | ✗ |
Army
@
Florida Gulf Coast
|
+8.2 | 143.8 | 82% | 65–68 | ✓ |
Queens University
@
Cleveland State
|
+3.3 | 139.4 | 56% | 73–88 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.