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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–2 on winners
spread MAE 10.8
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-5.0 | 129.3 | 25% | 61–60 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.9 | 138.2 | 62% | 69–85 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.0 | 141.8 | 59% | 75–68 | ✗ |
|
|
-2.8 | 144.5 | 40% | 66–49 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.8 | 141.9 | 68% | 61–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.3 | 145.8 | 57% | 77–68 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.