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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–2 on winners
spread MAE 14.2
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Memphis
@
Colorado State
|
-2.5 | 133.0 | 39% | 90–67 | ✓ |
Oregon State
@
Loyola Chicago
|
+4.7 | 127.1 | 61% | 65–58 | ✗ |
Louisiana Tech
@
Mississippi State
|
-1.0 | 134.5 | 43% | 62–84 | ✗ |
Villanova
@
Baylor
|
+5.2 | 143.6 | 68% | 51–62 | ✓ |
Oral Roberts
@
Arkansas
|
+12.1 | 154.9 | 85% | 70–72 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.