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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 14.7
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+3.1 | 139.4 | 60% | 77–67 | ✗ |
|
|
+5.3 | 139.1 | 73% | 77–96 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.6 | 130.4 | 35% | 85–51 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.8 | 142.5 | 74% | 72–77 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.