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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
1–3 on winners
spread MAE 7.0
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+1.3 | 125.6 | 55% | 69–67 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.8 | 131.7 | 57% | 60–52 | ✗ |
|
|
-1.2 | 140.8 | 48% | 53–52 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.6 | 137.9 | 48% | 75–61 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.