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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 7.8
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Illinois
@
Houston
|
+0.1 | 141.6 | 50% | 65–55 | ✗ |
Arkansas
@
Arizona
|
+7.8 | 169.5 | 76% | 88–109 | ✓ |
St. John's
@
Duke
|
+9.2 | 145.0 | 80% | 75–80 | ✓ |
Alabama
@
Michigan
|
+9.3 | 177.5 | 80% | 77–90 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.