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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–1 on winners
spread MAE 5.2
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+7.3 | 156.7 | 75% | 69–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.4 | 155.5 | 78% | 77–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.8 | 135.2 | 56% | 77–71 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.