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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
1–2 on winners
spread MAE 7.0
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charleston
@
UNC Wilmington
|
+7.2 | 142.3 | 74% | 79–76 | ✗ |
Wichita State
@
UTSA
|
-17.8 | 148.4 | 5% | 84–67 | ✓ |
Norfolk State
@
Morgan State
|
-3.9 | 154.4 | 36% | 84–90 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.