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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 9.1
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cornell
@
Samford
|
-3.9 | 173.7 | 36% | 90–93 | ✗ |
UTEP
@
Seattle U
|
+17.1 | 129.8 | 94% | 68–75 | ✓ |
North Florida
@
Gonzaga
|
+42.9 | 163.4 | 100% | 58–109 | ✓ |
Lafayette
@
Pennsylvania
|
+13.3 | 153.7 | 89% | 72–74 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.