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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
0–4 on winners
spread MAE 14.5
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida Atlantic
@
Tennessee
|
+6.0 | 131.1 | 71% | 62–55 | ✗ |
Gonzaga
@
UCLA
|
+3.0 | 149.2 | 61% | 79–76 | ✗ |
San Diego State
@
Alabama
|
+7.4 | 143.9 | 75% | 71–64 | ✗ |
Miami
@
Houston
|
+10.7 | 139.4 | 83% | 89–75 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.