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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–0 on winners
spread MAE 8.6
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cincinnati
@
Utah Valley
|
+2.1 | 146.2 | 57% | 68–74 | ✓ |
Michigan State
@
Kansas State
|
+1.0 | 140.2 | 54% | 93–98 | ✓ |
Arkansas
@
UConn
|
+5.0 | 143.3 | 68% | 65–88 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.