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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 8.8
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Southeast Missouri State
@
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
|
+4.9 | 160.8 | 67% | 71–75 | ✓ |
Hofstra
@
Rutgers
|
+8.8 | 129.1 | 79% | 88–86 | ✗ |
Toledo
@
Michigan
|
+6.7 | 162.3 | 73% | 80–90 | ✓ |
Southern Miss
@
UAB
|
+7.8 | 153.6 | 76% | 60–88 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.