Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | ISU -850 IOWA +575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +4 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -18.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (-27.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -17.3 (-13.3) | 143.9 (-15.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -15.2 (-11.2) | 140.9 (-12.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -15.9 (-11.9) | 145.0 (-17.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -17.5 (-13.5) | 147.1 (-19.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2024 | ISU 89 – 80 IOWA |
| Dec 8, 2023 | ISU 90 – 65 IOWA |
| Dec 9, 2022 | IOWA 75 – 56 ISU |
| Dec 10, 2021 | ISU 73 – 53 IOWA |
| Dec 12, 2020 | IOWA 105 – 77 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 16-1 | 15-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.0 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 26.7 (#3) | 13.0 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.21 (#4) | 2.55 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 8.85 (#1) | 3.80 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#30) | 0.610 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.9% | 51.7% |
| 3PT% | 43.8% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.90 | 1.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.8% | 59.4% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 35.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.5% | 24.1% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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