Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | YALE -470 PENN +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +4 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -11.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -12.2 (-8.2) | 150.2 (-6.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -14.0 (-10.0) | 147.7 (-3.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -11.1 (-7.1) | 150.1 (-6.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -10.8 (-6.8) | 150.3 (-6.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | PENN 88 – 84 YALE |
| Jan 24, 2026 | YALE 77 – 60 PENN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | YALE 72 – 71 PENN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | YALE 90 – 61 PENN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | YALE 76 – 62 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-7 | 18-12 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 9-5 |
| Home | 10-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 9-3 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#77) | -0.7 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#63) | 0.04 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#79) | 0.18 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#26) | 0.523 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 42.0% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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