Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | SYR -142 UNC +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNC +13 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | UNC -4.8 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNC -2.6 (-10.4) | 149.5 (-8.5) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNC -3.4 (-9.6) | 147.9 (-6.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNC -2.8 (-10.2) | 150.6 (-9.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNC -2.8 (-10.2) | 149.7 (-8.7) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | UNC 87 – 77 SYR |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNC 88 – 82 SYR |
| Feb 14, 2024 | SYR 86 – 79 UNC |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UNC 103 – 67 SYR |
| Jan 25, 2023 | UNC 72 – 68 SYR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-6 | 18-0 |
| Away | 2-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 79.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#73) | 16.3 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#70) | 3.05 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#68) | 3.51 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#82) | 0.640 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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