Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | MONT -230 NAU +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -3.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -3.4 (+5.6) | 144.0 (-5.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -3.2 (+5.8) | 140.6 (-1.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -3.5 (+5.5) | 143.8 (-4.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -3.4 (+5.6) | 144.0 (-5.0) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2026 | MONT 98 – 72 NAU |
| Jan 1, 2026 | MONT 78 – 64 NAU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MONT 83 – 80 NAU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | MONT 81 – 76 NAU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MONT 94 – 66 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#178) | -4.2 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#110) | -0.83 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#126) | -1.04 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#57) | 0.453 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.