Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Massey | HOW -21.7 | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -5.3 | 139.3 | 74% |
| Baseline ML | HOW -5.2 | 139.3 | 75% |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | HOW 70 – 63 NCCU |
| Feb 21, 2026 | HOW 100 – 67 NCCU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | HOW 83 – 69 NCCU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NCCU 72 – 68 HOW |
| Feb 8, 2025 | HOW 82 – 78 NCCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Home | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Away | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.0 | 62.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 78.0 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#80) | 1.2 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#180) | -0.34 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#156) | -0.47 (#174) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.3% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 25.9% | 46.7% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 21.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.4% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 26.1% |
| ORB% | 42.0% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 10.3% | 14.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.4% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 47.6% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 33.9% |
Game Analysis
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