Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Massey | LAF -20.7 | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAF -3.3 | 149.1 | 70% |
| Baseline ML | LAF -3.6 | 145.3 | 55% |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | HC 82 – 77 LAF |
| Feb 18, 2026 | LAF 86 – 83 HC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LAF 74 – 55 HC |
| Mar 5, 2025 | LAF 69 – 68 HC |
| Feb 19, 2025 | HC 74 – 69 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAF | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Home | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Away | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.0 | 59.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 96.0 | 103.0 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#252) | -8.2 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#147) | -0.35 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#166) | -0.55 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#1) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAF | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 16.7% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 28.0 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.50 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.3% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 18.4% |
| FT Rate | 9.0% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.7% | 64.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.6% | 6.9% |
| DRB% | 50.0% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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