Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | SBU -800 FOR +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -12.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -12.2 (-10.2) | 140.7 (+5.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -11.5 (-9.5) | 139.0 (+7.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -10.9 (-8.9) | 139.2 (+6.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -11.7 (-9.7) | 139.7 (+6.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SBU 70 – 67 FOR |
| Jan 10, 2026 | FOR 81 – 77 SBU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SBU 86 – 66 FOR |
| Feb 15, 2024 | SBU 85 – 67 FOR |
| Jan 13, 2024 | FOR 80 – 74 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 3-15 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#90) | -3.3 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#82) | -0.35 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#78) | -0.32 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#71) | 0.486 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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