Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
Comerica Center (Neutral) · March 26, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WKU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money WKU +100 / LT +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total WKU win
Actual LT +7 137 Lost
Massey LT -2.2 (-4.8) — —
Massey Totals — 136.2 (+0.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 58% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 54% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML LT -2.5 (-4.5) 135.6 (+1.4) 39% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LT -0.5 (-6.5) 134.6 (+2.4) 42% ✓
Baseline Plus ML LT -2.2 (-4.8) 136.2 (+0.8) 37% ✓
Baseline ML LT -2.1 (-4.9) 135.4 (+1.6) 38% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 4, 2026 WKU 66 – 61 LT
Feb 23, 2025 WKU 64 – 63 LT
Jan 24, 2025 LT 77 – 67 WKU
Feb 29, 2024 LT 90 – 84 WKU
Feb 8, 2024 WKU 81 – 76 LT

Game Analysis

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