Nicholls
Colonels
88
–
76
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Hercules Tires Southland
Northwestern State
Demons
Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | NICH -450 NWST +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +12 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -8.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -8.6 (+3.4) | 154.5 (+9.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -6.9 (+5.1) | 153.4 (+10.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -8.5 (+3.5) | 157.4 (+6.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -8.1 (+3.9) | 152.5 (+11.5) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | NICH 61 – 47 NWST |
| Feb 3, 2026 | NICH 61 – 58 NWST |
| Jan 6, 2026 | NICH 74 – 72 NWST |
| Feb 11, 2025 | NWST 72 – 60 NICH |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NWST 68 – 66 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-7 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 9-7 |
| Home | 8-1 | 6-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 81.0 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#189) | -10.4 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#169) | -1.97 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#191) | -2.91 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#109) | 0.460 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.