Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | COPP +180 MORG -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +21 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | MORG -5.3 (-15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -4.3 (-16.7) | 153.9 (-10.9) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -4.7 (-16.3) | 153.6 (-10.6) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -4.5 (-16.5) | 154.6 (-11.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -3.8 (-17.2) | 154.0 (-11.0) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MORG 70 – 66 COPP |
| Jan 31, 2026 | MORG 89 – 80 COPP |
| Mar 7, 2025 | COPP 82 – 75 MORG |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MORG 80 – 64 COPP |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MORG 78 – 60 COPP |
Game Analysis
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