Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | NIA +400 IONA -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +6 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -5.6 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -4.9 (-1.1) | 133.6 (+0.4) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -4.2 (-1.8) | 131.3 (+2.7) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -4.1 (-1.9) | 134.4 (-0.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -4.7 (-1.3) | 134.3 (-0.3) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | NIA 70 – 68 IONA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | IONA 71 – 53 NIA |
| Feb 28, 2025 | IONA 65 – 63 NIA |
| Feb 9, 2024 | IONA 74 – 71 NIA |
| Jan 7, 2024 | NIA 75 – 73 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-11 | 12-6 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 6-3 |
| Home | 5-3 | 4-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#231) | 1.8 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#223) | 0.34 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#216) | 0.28 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#196) | 0.546 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 32.1% |
Game Analysis
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