Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | JKST +140 TXSO -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +3 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -2.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (+33.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -1.6 (-1.4) | 132.4 (+32.6) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -1.8 (-1.2) | 134.1 (+30.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -1.4 (-1.6) | 137.9 (+27.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -1.5 (-1.5) | 133.9 (+31.1) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 57 JKST |
| Jan 20, 2026 | JKST 94 – 89 TXSO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | JKST 67 – 52 TXSO |
| Jan 20, 2025 | TXSO 81 – 73 JKST |
| Mar 14, 2024 | TXSO 73 – 62 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-6 | 17-9 |
| Conference | 11-0 | 10-3 |
| Home | 6-0 | 8-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#275) | -4.8 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#199) | -0.14 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#246) | -0.94 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#150) | 0.522 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 40.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.1% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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