Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | LT +120 UNT -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +6 | 102 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -0.6 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.9 (-24.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -0.8 (-6.8) | 129.8 (-27.8) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -0.1 (-5.9) | 128.0 (-26.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -1.2 (-7.2) | 131.3 (-29.3) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LT -0.5 (-6.5) | 130.6 (-28.6) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | UNT 74 – 46 LT |
| Feb 17, 2023 | UNT 72 – 62 LT |
| Jan 12, 2023 | UNT 67 – 65 LT |
| Mar 11, 2022 | LT 42 – 36 UNT |
| Feb 26, 2022 | UNT 56 – 49 LT |
Game Analysis
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