Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -188 FLA +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +12 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -2.3 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -1.9 (+10.1) | 133.0 (+11.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -1.7 (+10.3) | 130.8 (+13.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -1.9 (+10.1) | 132.5 (+11.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -2.2 (+9.8) | 130.9 (+13.1) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | FLA 91 – 67 TENN |
| Mar 16, 2025 | FLA 86 – 77 TENN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TENN 64 – 44 FLA |
| Jan 8, 2025 | FLA 73 – 43 TENN |
| Jan 16, 2024 | TENN 85 – 66 FLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 15-10 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 9-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 4-4 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.5 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 15.1 (#14) | 12.9 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#33) | 2.00 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.80 (#32) | 2.65 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#51) | 0.582 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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