Wichita State
Shockers
68
–
67
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Air Force Reserve American Athletic Conference
South Florida
Bulls
Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | WICH -600 USF +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +1 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -9.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -9.5 (-8.5) | 138.6 (-3.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -6.8 (-5.8) | 137.4 (-2.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -8.6 (-7.6) | 138.7 (-3.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -9.6 (-8.6) | 138.3 (-3.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | USF 70 – 55 WICH |
| Feb 12, 2026 | USF 66 – 58 WICH |
| Jan 18, 2026 | WICH 86 – 85 USF |
| Mar 13, 2025 | WICH 73 – 68 USF |
| Feb 9, 2025 | WICH 75 – 70 USF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-6 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 11-2 | 4-10 |
| Home | 10-2 | 4-6 |
| Away | 5-2 | 3-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#74) | -1.9 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#20) | 0.36 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#33) | 0.36 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#12) | 0.493 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | USF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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