Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | PUR +130 OSU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +9 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -1.9 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (+23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -0.6 (-8.4) | 139.4 (+25.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -0.1 (-8.9) | 132.8 (+32.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -0.9 (-8.1) | 137.8 (+27.2) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -0.7 (-8.3) | 138.4 (+26.6) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | OSU 82 – 74 PUR |
| Jan 22, 2025 | OSU 73 – 70 PUR |
| Feb 18, 2024 | OSU 73 – 69 PUR |
| Mar 11, 2023 | PUR 80 – 66 OSU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | PUR 82 – 55 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PUR | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-10 | 21-10 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 14.2 (#20) | 16.1 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.65 (#16) | 2.82 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.55 (#12) | 3.92 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#24) | 0.596 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PUR | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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