Betting Lines
| Spread | ILL -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | ILL -300 RUTG +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILL +22 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | ILL -8.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILL -7.5 (+14.5) | 139.3 (+18.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILL -6.6 (+15.4) | 139.0 (+19.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILL -6.5 (+15.5) | 141.3 (+16.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILL -7.8 (+14.2) | 139.3 (+18.7) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | ILL 81 – 55 RUTG |
| Feb 6, 2025 | RUTG 82 – 73 ILL |
| Jan 21, 2024 | ILL 86 – 63 RUTG |
| Dec 2, 2023 | ILL 76 – 58 RUTG |
| Feb 11, 2023 | ILL 69 – 60 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILL | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-7 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 9-3 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 20.6 (#3) | 12.1 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.23 (#4) | 2.24 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.48 (#4) | 3.01 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.615 (#11) | 0.566 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILL | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.