Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | WEB -275 MONT +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +5 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | WEB -7.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -7.7 (-12.7) | 141.5 (+13.5) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -5.4 (-10.4) | 138.9 (+16.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -6.8 (-11.8) | 141.5 (+13.5) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -7.3 (-12.3) | 141.2 (+13.8) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | WEB 92 – 72 MONT |
| Jan 23, 2026 | MONT 81 – 65 WEB |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MONT 65 – 58 WEB |
| Jan 17, 2025 | MONT 63 – 59 WEB |
| Jan 23, 2024 | MONT 77 – 62 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-6 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-0 | 8-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.2 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#95) | -1.8 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#126) | -0.87 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#138) | -1.02 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#58) | 0.480 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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